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Home Blog Immigrate

Next OINP Draw Prediction (Expected Category & Score)

Anurag Sharma by Anurag Sharma
February 11, 2025
in Immigrate, Blog
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OINP is one of the most popular immigration programs in Canada, however, also among the slowest. Many candidates eagerly await the next OINP draw, especially in streams like the Skilled Trade and Human Capital Priorities (Tech).

However, recent delays in OINP draws have left many candidates wondering why and when the next invitation round will occur.

Contents hide
Why is OINP Not Conducting Draws?
Prediction for the Next OINP Draw
FAQs About the Next OINP Draw
Conclusion

Why is OINP Not Conducting Draws?

A key reason for the delay in OINP draws is the reduction in the nomination quota for 2025. The federal government allocates a certain number of nominations to each province, and Ontario has seen a reduced quota of about half of its quota and what it was in 2025. This means fewer invitations can be issued, leading to longer wait times.

Additionally, administrative and strategic reasons may be affecting the frequency of draws as Ontario manages its available quota to ensure only the most qualified candidates receive invitations.

Prediction for the Next OINP Draw

1. Expected Draw Category

Based on recent trends, the next OINP draw is likely to be for the French-Speaking Skilled Worker or the Human Capital Priorities (Tech) category. It has been a long since the last draw of these categories was conducted, and Ontario will likely prioritize skilled workers who can contribute to the province’s growing tech and Francophone communities.

2. Expected Draw Date

Based on recent trends, and reduced quota, the next OINP draw is likely to occur in the month of March 2025.

2. Predicted CRS Score Cut-Off

The CRS score required for an invitation will likely remain above 470 for the Human Capital Priorities (Tech) draw and around 340-380 for the French-Speaking Skilled Worker draw. Given the reduced quota, we may see a slight increase in score requirements.

3. Number of Invitations Expected

The number of invitations per draw will likely be lower than in 2024 due to the reduced allocation. The next draw may invite around 1,000-1,500 candidates for the Tech stream and 500-800 candidates for the French-Speaking Skilled Worker stream.

FAQs About the Next OINP Draw

1. When will be the next OINP Skilled Trade draw?

It is expected to be conducted in April 2025, but due to the reduced quota, it may not happen as frequently as the last year.

2. What is the CRS score required for OINP Skilled Trade Draw?

OINP Skilled draws typically require a CRS above 405-415, while French-speaking draws have a lower cut-off around 340-380.

3. Why is Ontario not conducting frequent draws in 2024?

Ontario has received a reduced nomination quota, leading to fewer invitations and increased competition.

4. How can I improve my chances of receiving an OINP nomination?

Boost your CRS score by improving your language proficiency, gaining additional work experience, or obtaining a job offer in Ontario.

Conclusion

The next OINP draw is expected soon, with priority likely given to the French-speaking skilled Worker and Human Capital Priorities (Tech) categories. Due to a reduced nomination quota, the number of invitations may be lower, and CRS cut-off scores may be higher.

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